Large constellation applications through 2034
This animation depicts the 191,000 large constellation spacecraft applied for by the global space community through 2034. This information is mostly based upon FCC and ITU filings; in a few cases, media reports were incorporated as well. Historically, the percentage of applied-for spacecraft that become realized on-orbit is somewhere between 15 to 25%. In the large constellation domain, that number is currently at 10%. Even if only on tenth of these 191,000 applied-for spacecraft are realized, this represents a tripling of our current active spacecraft population. Such an increase will require substantial improvements to our legacy SSA and STC approaches, astrodynamics algorithms, data fusion, and collaboration between spacecraft operators, government and commercial SSA and STC tools and service providers, and regulators.