Probability of Collision: Valuation, Variability, Visualization, and Validity


Id: 267
Type: Conference paper
Published: 09/13/2016
Event: AIAA/AAS Astrodynamics Specialist Conference 2016
Authors:
Click an author to filter the list of related assets below.Abstract:
robability of collision (Pc) is becoming more popular as a tool to assess conjunction threats. In this paper, an overview of the types of Pc estimation techniques is provided. For each technique, the inputs it requires are delineated. Three-dimensional tools are then presented for depicting the variability of the Pc inputs to Pc estimates. These depictions are used to quantify the quality of Pc input data required to yield actionable Pc estimates. Relationships between Mahalanobis space and Pc are presented and used to derive bounding values for Type I and II errors.
Keywords:
Click a keyword to filter the list of related assets below.Citation:
Alfano, S. and Oltrogge, D.L., “Probability of Collision: Valuation, Variability, Visualization, and Validity,” AAS/AIAA Astrodynamics Specialist Conference, Long Beach, CA, 13 September 2016, accessible at https://comspoc.com/Resources/Content/Private/C-20220424T100102/Paper/Pc_Valuation_Variation_Visualization_Validity%20(final).pdf.
Papers with related authors:

Using Spacebook and Cesium to Promote and Enhance Flight Safety
Read More
Actionability and Persistence Of Conjunction Data
Read More
Actionability and Persistence of Conjunction Data
Read More
Synthetic Covariance Production Using a New Digital Approach
Read More
Actionability and Persistence of Conjunction Data
Read More


Comparison of predicted and observed spacecraft encounters from Russian ASAT test
Read More
Efficient assessment of long-term encounter rates with CSSI’s volumetric encounter method
Read More
Russian ASAT Debris Cloud Evolution and Risk
Read More
Evaluation of LEO conjunction rates using historical flight safety systems and analytical algorithms
Read More
Innovative LCOLA tool prioritizing accuracy, launch access and efficiency
Read More
SSA positional and dimensional accuracy requirements for Space Traffic Coordination and Management
Read More
Risk Assessment of Recent High-Interest Conjunctions
Read More
Results of comprehensive STCM data fusion experiment
Read More
Risk Assessment of Recent High-Interest Conjunctions
Read More
LEO constellation encounter and collision rate estimation: an update
Read More
The cost of not doing debris remediation
Read More
The technical challenges of better Space Situational Awareness and Space Traffic Management
Read More
Probability of Collision: Valuation, variability, visualization, and validity
Read More

A comprehensive assessment of collision likelihood in Geosynchronous Earth Orbit
Read More



Addressing the debilitating effects of maneuvers on SSA accuracy and timeliness
Read More


Updated Analytical Partials for Covariance Transformations and Optimization
Read MorePapers with related keywords:

Spacebook.com and Synthetic Covariances
Read More
Risk Assessment of Recent High-Interest Conjunctions
Read More
Debris Risk Evolution And Dispersal (DREAD) for post-fragmentation modeling
Read More
Probability of Collision: Valuation, variability, visualization, and validity
Read More